Support and resistance on the monthly chart are very important technical indicators as they affect all lower timeframes. These areas on the chart usually indicate major multi-year highs or lows and the price almost certainly reacts at them on the lower timeframes.
Trading the monthly chart offers long-term trading opportunities that often provide profits of thousands of pips. Trading patterns and signals are much more reliable and fake-outs are far less common. These are some of the main reasons why many serious traders prefer to trade the monthly chart.
This strategy is quite simple and based only on solid technical trading principles that the big institutions and interbank Forex traders also trade on. The classic indicators and patterns on the monthly timeframe work very well because so many people are trading by them and there is no single player that can control the market to that degree to cause fake-outs on the monthly chart. In contrast, all lower timeframes can be affected and are often manipulated in this way.
On the chart lower, we can see such trade examples on the monthly chart.
We can see several things on this monthly chart. The 1.40 level has been important for EURUSD on several occasions throughout the years. The pair topped and bottomed around this level multiple times as shown on the chart. Further, we can see that support and resistance hold up very well and when confirmed by indicators and patterns provided a number of good trading opportunities.
Trading techniques and indicators for the strategy:
The main idea with this strategy is to have an indicator that shows the trend and overbought oversold levels and use that together with the key support/resistance zones. Oversold overbought indicators also can show important areas where a consolidation or a reversal will start even without a support or resistance zone.
Big financial institutions and banks are trading based on these levels and indicators so high probability trades are generated. That’s why it’s important for any Forex trader to watch them and take note of any signals or patterns.
We are going to use the default MT4 Stochastic and the FxTR Master MACD indicators on the chart examples. The Master MACD can be download for free here.
Feel free to experiment with other indicators also. Only keep in mind to use a combination of a trend-showing indicator (Master MACD here) and an overbought/oversold momentum indicator (Stochastic here).
Regarding support and resistance, horizontal as well as trendline support/resistance zones are important. Also, turncoat support/resistance very often is a point of reversals and should also be watching and implemented in the strategy.
Long trade entry:
Long trade stop loss:
Long trade exit and targets:
Here’s an example of a long trade taken on the monthly chart:
The green up arrow indicates the long entry and the green down arrow indicates the exit. As can be seen on the chart, the exit was a resistance area and the Stochastic was in the overbought zone. The 100.00 level is also shown and how it was significant for USDJPY on multiple occasions over the years - USDJPY Monthly Chart
Short trade entry:
Short trade stop loss:
Short trade exit and targets:
An example of a short trade is shown on the chart below.
Keep in mind
Related education and FX know-how:
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